Research on the mechanism and policies of polycentric agglomeration for promoting the upgrading of China's position in the global production value chain

Abstract

Recently, with the increasing trend of anti-globalization, China's manufacturing industry has encountered instability in the supply of upstream products in international trade, a challenge that has given rise to an urgent demand for ways to improve China's position in the global production chain. In response to this challenge, the 14th Five-Year Plan puts forward the strategic goal of building multi-level, multi-node, networked city clusters and trade powerhouses, which provides new development opportunities for China to strengthen its position in the global production chain through the model of polycentric agglomeration. In order to gain a deeper understanding of the impact of polycentric agglomeration on the position of enterprises in the global production chain, this project will use the instrumental variable estimation method to conduct an empirical study. This method can help us accurately identify the causal relationship between polycentric agglomeration and global production chain position and assess the differential impact of different agglomeration patterns on firms' production chain position. Through this study, we expect to reveal how polycentric agglomeration can enhance firms' global production chain positions through mechanisms such as optimizing resource allocation, promoting technological innovation, and strengthening industrial chain synergies. In addition, we plan to explore the impact of polycentric agglomeration on the evolution of firms' roles in global value chains and on international trade competitiveness. The objective of this study is to provide targeted recommendations for policymakers and enterprises to help them achieve high-quality development of China's manufacturing industry by optimizing the structure of polycentric agglomeration in the context of global production chain restructuring. Through this comprehensive study, we expect to provide scientific decision support and action guidelines for China's sustainable upgrading and competitiveness enhancement in global production chains.