Analysis and suggestions on stock valuation and profit forecast of Kweichow Moutai Company based on historical data

Authors

  • Shenying Xu

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v25i.1860

Keywords:

Moutai, Stock valuation, Profit, Historical data

Abstract

The prediction of stock value and earnings can provide reliable empirical evidence for the future development of enterprises. This paper takes Moutai Company as the research object, uses historical data of the enterprise and combines various valuation models, regression models, neural networks, time series models and sensitivity analysis to carry out stock valuation and profit forecast. The results show that the stock value and profit of Moutai will continue to improve in the future, reflecting the good operating performance of Moutai Company. However, some risk factors may also exist, and changes in the external environment may bring uncertainties to Moutai's future development. Therefore, risk factors should be taken into full consideration while making an optimistic estimate of Moutai's operating performance. Finally, this paper puts forward some suggestions, hoping to be helpful to the development of Moutai and related enterprises.

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References

Guo K, Zhou W, Cheng W. Economy barometer analysis of China Stock Market: A dynamic analysis based on the thermal optimal path method[J]. Journal of Management Sciences in China,2012,15(01):1-10. (in Chinese)

Pu M, Liu Z, Gao Y, et al. Research on the potential value evaluation method of local enterprises based on the commitment of scientific research projects [J]. Science and Technology Management Research,2021,41(22):53-58. (in Chinese)

Yaning Y U , Guo L , Science S O , et al. Discussion and Research on Stock Data Processing Based on ARIMA-GARCH Model[J]. The Guide of Science & Education, 2018.

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Published

2022-08-30

How to Cite

Xu, S. (2022). Analysis and suggestions on stock valuation and profit forecast of Kweichow Moutai Company based on historical data. BCP Business & Management, 25, 495-505. https://doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v25i.1860