Priority options for the 17 UN Sustainable Development Strategies: Based on the model network perspective

Yaqi You; Yuwen Yang; Han Zhang

doi:10.54691/bcpbm.v49i.5432

Authors

Yaqi You
Yuwen Yang
Han Zhang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v49i.5432

Keywords:

Grey Relational Analysis, Interpretative Structural Modeling, Dematel model, Multiple linear regression.

Abstract

The United Nations has set 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which are expected to be achieved by 2030. In order to achieve these goals as soon as possible, we need to prioritize the selection of SDGs that have a significant role, a high impact, and a wide range of relevance, and focus our efforts on prioritizing these goals. This paper mainly adopts the method of building mathematical models to study, aiming at the relationship between 17SDGs, the selection of priorities, and the test of models, three models are mainly established after the target is quantified. On the combing of the relationship, the goal relation network between 17SDGs is obtained by establishing the grey relational degree - ISM coupling model. With regard to priority selection, the Dematel model was established to calculate the impact degree, affected degree, centrality, cause degree and weight of goals, and some priorities in 17SDGs were established through analysis. As for the model testing, based on the actual situation in China, the coupled model of grey forecasting and multiple linear regression was established to predict the situation of each SDGs after 10 years to achieve the role of model testing. Combined with the current reality, the model is actually applied against the background of the current international pandemic of COVID-19, and the goal relation network and priorities of the current 17SDGs are obtained. The results show that the current implementation of 17SDGs can be divided into one, two, and three levels in order of priority from urgent to slow. Focusing on achieving the highest priority goals in this general order will have a wider and more visible impact, while removing some obstacles and providing more support for the realization of the lower goals, so that all SDGs can be achieved as soon as possible.

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