Necessity of Multiple Rounds of Nucleic Acid Detection: Application of Bayesian Decision Theory in Real Life

Authors

  • Yuting Liu

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v49i.5452

Keywords:

Bayesian Decision; Probability; COVID-19 Virus; Multiple Rounds of Nucleic Acid Detection.

Abstract

Bayesian Decision is a risk-based decision that uses the Bayesian formula to combine prior probability with conditional probability, which helps people make more mathematically logical inferences in the continuous updating of data and facts. In this paper, Bayesian Decision will be applied to analyze the necessity of multiple rounds of nucleic acid detection in middle and high risk areas up against the epidemic. Besides, data processing will be conducted in positive patients and negative patients. Then Bayesian factor is introduced to simplify the calculation to draw the corresponding conclusions, and the practical application value of Bayesian Decision is prospected.

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References

Yao, X. T. (2017). Analysis of Bayesian theorem and its application. Education Modernization, 2(6), 254-256.

Liu, L. P. & Gao, L. (2013). Mystery of Bayesian life experience—On the 250th anniversary of the publication of Bayesian theorem. Statistical Research, (12), 2-9.

Surkova, E., Nikolayevskyy, V. & Drobniewski, F. (2020). False-positive COVID-19 results: hidden problems and costs. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, 8(12),1167-1168.

Arevalo-Rodriguez, I., Buitrago-Garcia, D., Simancas-Racines, D., et al. (2020). False negative results of initial RT-PCR assays for COVID-19: a systematic review. medRxiv, 15(12), 13-17.

Cook, M. (2020). Sleight of Mind. The MIT Press, 87-93.

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Published

2023-08-16

How to Cite

Liu, Y. (2023). Necessity of Multiple Rounds of Nucleic Acid Detection: Application of Bayesian Decision Theory in Real Life. BCP Business & Management, 49, 476-482. https://doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v49i.5452