The Influence of the Ukraine Conflict on American Capital Market and Asset Price

Abstract

The escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian war not only strengthened the geopolitical turmoil, but also affected the global capital market. This paper collects information about the S&P 500 and other indexes; Comparison of yields on 2-year, 5-year and 10-year U.S. treasury bonds and VIX index; CPI, gold price, gold inventory and gold futures price, etc.; Crude oil production, crude oil prices and inventories, crude oil futures prices and other data before and after the war (February 23, 2021 to February 23 and 2022, February 24, 2022 to now). It aims to study the objective impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on the US capital market and asset price trend. It is found that the volatility of the stock index of U.S. stocks increased at the beginning of the war, and the overall U-shaped; The VIX index also increased, meaning investors wanted to increase purchases of assets with safe-haven properties such as U.S. Treasuries and gold; The short-term increase in demand for gold futures and crude oil futures will increase the price of gold and crude oil, but will gradually return to the normal level as the war progresses.