Prediction of CSI China Mainland Low Carbon Economy Index Based on ARIMA-GARCH Model
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v35i.3392Keywords:
Carbon Neutrality; Green Finance; Mainland L-C Index; ARIMA-GARCH Model.Abstract
China is entering a new stage of development. It is a hot topic to play the driving role of green finance and help the realization of carbon neutralization. The change of stock price of green finance related industries can directly reflect the development trend of low-carbon economy and the development prospect of carbon neutralization in the future. Therefore, this paper selects the closing price of CSI China Mainland Low Carbon Economy Index (Mainland L-C Index) from July 1, 2010 to June 18, 2021 as the research data, establishes ARIMA-GARCH model to analyze and predict the future mainland low-carbon index, so as to effectively grasp the development direction of low-carbon economy and provide basis for the government to formulate relevant policies.
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